MLB Customer Results

This is the customer-facing MLB Hybrid Governed Official Card. XGB H2H raw handles First Five only and same-team overlap-governed plays, while Third Order remains the standalone full-game moneyline filter when bullpen confirmation is present. The current Hybrid audit sample is checked through July 16, 2026; the frozen backtest was generated on July 13, 2026 and settled daily cards are added forward.

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Top Line

What A $100 Flat-Bet Customer Would Have Seen

The season cards aggregate the MLB Hybrid Governed Official Card: First Five only and same-team overlap-governed plays come from XGB H2H raw, and standalone Full Game Only plays come from Third Order with bullpen confirmation. Same-team Full Game/F5 overlaps count once.

2024 MLB Backtest

+$18,460

541-270-78 | 66.7% win rate

889 bets | +184.60u | 20.8% ROI

$88,900 risked at $100 per play

2025 MLB Backtest

+$17,709

631-327-104 | 65.9% win rate

1062 bets | +177.09u | 16.7% ROI

$106,200 risked at $100 per play

2026 Current MLB Sample

+$11,001

341-188-59 | 64.5% win rate

588 bets | +110.01u | 18.7% ROI

$58,800 risked at $100 per play

2024-2026 MLB Total

+$47,170

1513-785-241 | 65.8% win rate

2539 bets | +471.70u | 18.6% ROI

$253,900 risked at $100 per play

Customer-facing season math: the top-line combined card equals the 2024 Hybrid backtest, the 2025 Hybrid backtest, and the current 2026 Hybrid sample. The prior Third Order governed card remains alive on the separate Third Order Model Results page and continues to update daily.

Season Results

Season-By-Season MLB Results

MLB Hybrid Governed Official Card

2024-current 2026 MLB Hybrid Governed Official Card: +$47,170

This is the backtested/current-sample Hybrid record at $100 per governed card play. It does not double-count same-team Full Game and First Five overlaps.

Card Piece	Included Bet Types	Bets	Record	Win %	Units	Profit	ROI
2024 MLB Hybrid Governed Official Card	XGB F5 only + XGB same-team overlap + Third Order full-only bullpen confirmed	889	541-270-78	66.7%	+184.60u	+$18,460	20.8%
2025 MLB Hybrid Governed Official Card	XGB F5 only + XGB same-team overlap + Third Order full-only bullpen confirmed	1062	631-327-104	65.9%	+177.09u	+$17,709	16.7%
2026 Current MLB Hybrid Sample	Current sample through July 16, 2026	588	341-188-59	64.5%	+110.01u	+$11,001	18.7%
2024-current 2026 MLB Hybrid Total	2024 + 2025 + current 2026 Hybrid governed cards	2539	1513-785-241	65.8%	+471.70u	+$47,170	18.6%

Official Card Build

The MLB Hybrid Card Has Three Buckets

The Hybrid does not replace every Third Order component with XGB. It uses the strongest validated model by lane.

By Lane

MLB Hybrid Governed Official Card Components

Card Piece	Included Bet Types	Bets	Record	Win %	Units	Profit	ROI
First Five Only	XGB H2H raw	1152	636-346-170	64.8%	+189.61u	+$18,961	16.5%
Same-Team Governed Overlap	XGB H2H raw, one governed play when both lanes qualify on the same team	1151	729-351-71	67.5%	+242.24u	+$24,224	21.0%
Full Game Only	Third Order with bullpen-confirmed support	236	148-88	62.7%	+39.84u	+$3,984	16.9%
Total MLB Hybrid Governed Official Card	Mixed by lane	2539	1513-785-241	65.8%	+471.70u	+$47,170	18.6%

Apples-To-Apples Audit

Why The Hybrid Is The Customer Page

Card Piece	Included Bet Types	Bets	Record	Win %	Units	Profit	ROI
Current Third Order	Prior governed-card benchmark	2911	1653-966-292	63.1%	+396.79u	+$39,679	13.6%
Full XGB H2H raw	XGB in every lane	2544	1508-795-241	65.5%	+449.71u	+$44,971	17.7%
Strict XGB F5/Overlap Only	No standalone Full Game Only plays	2302	1364-697-241	66.2%	+430.68u	+$43,068	18.7%
MLB Hybrid Governed Official Card	XGB F5/overlap + Third Order full-only	2539	1513-785-241	65.8%	+471.70u	+$47,170	18.6%

Read: the Hybrid is +74.91u versus the current Third Order benchmark and keeps the Third Order standalone Full Game Only bucket where it was strongest.

What Is Included

Plain-English MLB Hybrid Card Rules

These are the customer-facing rules for the MLB Hybrid Governed Official Card going forward.

Bucket 1

First Five Only

Use XGB H2H raw when the First Five moneyline qualifies without a same-team Full Game overlap.

Bucket 2

Same-Team Overlap

Use XGB H2H raw when Full Game and First Five both qualify on the same team, then count one governed play instead of two correlated plays.

Bucket 3

Full Game Only

Use Third Order for standalone full-game moneyline plays, and keep the bullpen-confirmed requirement for the full-only bucket.

Third Order model results still live separately: the current Third Order Full Game, Third Order First Five, and prior Third Order governed-card rows remain available on the Third Order Model Results page as the daily shadow benchmark. This page is the clean customer-facing MLB Hybrid official-card record.

Plain-English Read

How Customers Should Read This

The 2024, 2025, and 2026 rows show the net profit from the MLB Hybrid governed-card process by season. The combined record is the straight total of those Hybrid seasons: 2539 bets and about +$47,170 in flat-bet profit.

This is a historical backtest and current-sample audit, not a promise of future profit. It also does not claim true closing-line value; the audit uses available Check 2 movement proxy fields until true close or last-before-first-pitch odds are joined.