NBA Customer Results

Official NBA Card Record

This page gives customers the clean version of the NBA backtest: what the official card would have included, how many ATS and totals bets qualified, and what a $100 flat-bet customer would have earned. The deeper model audit stays available separately for internal review.

Top Line

What A $100 Flat-Bet Customer Would Have Seen

The official NBA card includes the customer ATS card and the customer totals card. It keeps the public page focused on the bet types a customer would actually follow, while the detailed audit can stay separate for model review.

2024-25 NBA Card

+$4,484
+44.84 units at $100 per unit
99-46-2 | 68.3% win rate
147 bets | 30.5% ROI

2025-26 NBA Card

+$3,348
+33.48 units at $100 per unit
71-31-4 | 69.6% win rate
106 bets | 31.6% ROI

2024-25 To 2025-26 Combined

+$7,831
+78.31 units at $100 per unit
170-77-6 | 68.8% win rate
253 bets | 31.0% ROI

CLV snapshot: true-close CLV is connected for the NBA ATS card and the NBA totals card. The official ATS card averaged +0.40 spread points combined with 79.0% non-negative CLV. Totals averaged +0.53 total points combined with 78.5% non-negative CLV. We keep spread CLV and totals CLV separate because they measure different markets.

What Is Included

The Official NBA Card Has Two Parts

Part 1

NBA ATS Card

Includes the public Premium Four Factor against-the-spread lane. This is the tighter customer ATS product selected from the broader model audit.

Part 2

NBA Totals Card

Includes the core full-game totals card across overs and unders. The card is graded from the tested decision-time price and audited against the close.

Clean customer view: the detailed audit page still preserves model groups, CLV notes, and lane-level context. This customer page shows only the official card result by season and bet type.

Season Results

Season-By-Season Official Card

2024-25 NBA Season

Official Card: +$4,484 / +44.84u

This includes the official ATS card plus the official totals card from the 2024-25 tested season only.

Card PieceIncluded Bet TypesBetsRecordWin %ProfitUnitsROI
NBA ATS CardPremium Four Factor ATS; ATS CLV +0.38 pts4736-10-178.3%+$2,282+22.82u48.6%
NBA Totals CardCore full-game totals; totals CLV +0.45 pts10063-36-163.6%+$2,201+22.01u22.0%
Official 2024-25 CardATS card + totals card; blended CLV +0.43 pts14799-46-268.3%+$4,484+44.84u30.5%

2025-26 NBA Season

Official Card: +$3,348 / +33.48u

This uses the same official-card logic as 2024-25, applied to the 2025-26 tested season only.

Card PieceIncluded Bet TypesBetsRecordWin %ProfitUnitsROI
NBA ATS CardPremium Four Factor ATS; ATS CLV +0.43 pts3423-8-374.2%+$1,289+12.89u37.9%
NBA Totals CardCore full-game totals; totals CLV +0.65 pts7248-23-167.6%+$2,059+20.59u28.6%
Official 2025-26 CardATS card + totals card; blended CLV +0.58 pts10671-31-469.6%+$3,348+33.48u31.6%

Combined Tested Window

2024-25 To 2025-26 Official Card: +$7,831 / +78.31u

Card PieceIncluded Bet TypesBetsRecordWin %ProfitUnitsROI
NBA ATS CardPremium Four Factor ATS; ATS CLV +0.40 pts8159-18-476.6%+$3,571+35.71u44.1%
NBA Totals CardCore full-game totals; totals CLV +0.53 pts172111-59-265.3%+$4,260+42.60u24.8%
Official Combined CardATS card + totals card; blended CLV +0.49 pts253170-77-668.8%+$7,831+78.31u31.0%

Plain-English Read

How Customers Should Read This

If a customer risked $100 on every official NBA card play across the 2024-25 and 2025-26 tested seasons, the historical result would have been 253 total bets and about $7,831 in profit, or +78.31 units. ROI is profit divided by total risked, so the combined 31.0% ROI means the card earned about $31.00 for every $100 risked across the tested window.

This is a historical backtest, not a promise of future profit. The value of the page is transparency: customers can see the bet count, record, included bet types, profit, ROI, and closing-line value without needing to interpret the deeper model audit.