Results Tracker

NBA Model Results

The chart below shows what a Three Check Bets customer would have earned if they bet every qualified NBA model play at $100 per bet using the tested walk-forward process. Results are organized by tested season first, then by bet type, so customers can read ATS, totals, and the full season card without mixing in a multi-season combined record.

Customer Summary Read Explanation Back To NBA Hub NBA Ratings Four Factors

Tested NBA Model Results

Model Results Tracker

Flat-bet examples assume risking $100 for every 1.0u. ROI is profit divided by total amount risked. Win percentage is wins divided by decisions, with pushes excluded from the win-rate denominator. CLV is closing-line value in points against the closing market audit; positive CLV means the model beat the final market number before tipoff.

2024-25 To 2025-26 Combined Customer Card

+$7,831

+78.31 units at $100 per unit

170-77-6 | 68.8% win rate

253 bets | +78.31u | 31.0% ROI

Avg true CLV +0.49 pts

Earliest Tested Season

2024-25 Season

This shows only the 2024-25 tested NBA season, not a multi-season combined record. The season combined card adds the customer ATS and totals plays from that season only.

Walk-Forward Audit

2024-25 ATS Results

+$2,282

36-10-1 | 78.3% win rate

47 bets | +22.82u | 48.6% ROI

Avg true CLV +0.38 pts

2024-25 Totals Results

+$2,201

63-36-1 | 63.6% win rate

100 bets | +22.01u | 22.0% ROI

Avg true CLV +0.45 pts

2024-25 Season Combined

+$4,484

99-46-2 | 68.3% win rate

147 bets | +44.84u | 30.5% ROI

Avg true CLV +0.43 pts

$14,700 risked at $100 per play

Bet Type	Model Group	Bets	Record	Win %	Profit	Units	ROI	Avg CLV	CLV Notes
Full-Game ATS	Premium Four Factor ATS	47	36-10-1	78.3%	+$2,282.23	+22.82u	+48.6%	+0.38 pts	76.6% non-negative true CLV
Full-Game Totals	Core Totals Over + Under	100	63-36-1	63.6%	+$2,201.31	+22.01u	+22.0%	+0.45 pts	81.0% non-negative true CLV
Season Combined	NBA ATS plus totals card	147	99-46-2	68.3%	+$4,483.54	+44.84u	+30.5%	+0.43 pts	79.6% non-negative true CLV across current lanes

Newest Tested Season

2025-26 Season

This shows only the 2025-26 tested NBA season. The season combined card adds the customer ATS and totals plays from that season only, so it can be compared directly to the 2024-25 season above.

Walk-Forward Audit

2025-26 ATS Results

+$1,289

23-8-3 | 74.2% win rate

34 bets | +12.89u | 37.9% ROI

Avg true CLV +0.43 pts

2025-26 Totals Results

+$2,059

48-23-1 | 67.6% win rate

72 bets | +20.59u | 28.6% ROI

Avg true CLV +0.65 pts

2025-26 Season Combined

+$3,348

71-31-4 | 69.6% win rate

106 bets | +33.48u | 31.6% ROI

Avg true CLV +0.58 pts

$10,600 risked at $100 per play

Bet Type	Model Group	Bets	Record	Win %	Profit	Units	ROI	Avg CLV	CLV Notes
Full-Game ATS	Premium Four Factor ATS	34	23-8-3	74.2%	+$1,289.26	+12.89u	+37.9%	+0.43 pts	82.4% non-negative true CLV
Full-Game Totals	Core Totals Over + Under	72	48-23-1	67.6%	+$2,058.54	+20.59u	+28.6%	+0.65 pts	75.0% non-negative true CLV
Season Combined	NBA ATS plus totals card	106	71-31-4	69.6%	+$3,347.79	+33.48u	+31.6%	+0.58 pts	77.4% non-negative true CLV across current lanes

CLV note: CLV is closing-line value in points. The ATS CLV comes from the premium Four Factor ATS audit, and totals CLV is matched for all 172 total plays in the tested window. Positive CLV means the model beat the final market number before tipoff.