NCAAB Customer Results

Official Men's College Basketball Card Record

This page gives customers the clean version of the NCAA men's basketball backtest: what the official straight-bet card would have included, how many ATS, full-game totals, and team-total bets qualified, and what a $100 flat-bet customer would have earned. The deeper model audit stays available separately.

How It Was Tested Detailed Model Audit Back To NCAAB Hub Ratings Four Factors

Top Line

What A $100 Flat-Bet Customer Would Have Seen

The NCAAB card below integrates the Moneyline Guardrail into the season where those plays occurred, so the 2024-25, 2025-26, and combined records each show the full tracked official card in one place.

2024-25 NCAAB Card

+$1,786

+17.86 units at $100 per unit

66-40-1 | 62.3% win rate

107 bets | 16.7% ROI

2025-26 NCAAB Card

+$4,400

+44.00 units at $100 per unit

109-53-1 | 67.3% win rate

163 bets | 27.0% ROI

2024-25 To 2025-26 Combined

+$6,187

+61.87 units at $100 per unit

175-93-2 | 65.3% win rate

270 bets | 22.9% ROI

CLV snapshot: ATS, full-game totals, and team-total CLV are measured in points. Moneyline Guardrail CLV is measured separately as no-vig implied-probability CLV, so the table notes that market separately while still rolling its bets into the season record.

What Is Included

The NCAAB Card Has Four Tracked Parts

Part 1

Full-Game ATS Card

Includes the Robust Premium Core spread governor: model edge, playable actual price, and spread-cap discipline.

Part 2

Full-Game Totals Card

Includes the Three Check full-game totals card, grouped into one customer-facing totals record instead of showing every internal lane.

Part 3

Team Totals Unified

Combines the validated team-total over lane into one customer-facing category where the model found enough price-aware edge against the team scoring market.

Part 4

Moneyline Guardrail

Adds the Moneyline Guardrail by season, while keeping no-vig moneyline CLV separate from ATS and totals point CLV.

Clean customer view: the detailed audit page still preserves model groups, lane notes, CLV notes, and internal context. This customer page rolls each lane into its proper season instead of showing a separate internal comparison card.

Season Results

Season-By-Season Official Card

2024-25 NCAAB Season

Official Card: +$1,786 / +17.86u

This includes ATS, full-game totals, Team Totals Unified, and the 2024-25 Moneyline Guardrail plays from the corrected 2024-25 tested season only.

Card Piece	Included Bet Types	Bets	Record	Win %	Profit	Units	ROI
Full-Game ATS Card	Robust Premium Core ATS; CLV +1.09 pts	41	24-16-1	60.0%	+$576	+5.76u	14.1%
Full-Game Totals Card	Three Check full-game totals; CLV +3.30 pts	24	14-10	58.3%	+$271	+2.71u	11.3%
Team Totals Unified	Unified team-total over card; CLV +3.20 pts	23	14-9	60.9%	+$336	+3.36u	14.6%
Moneyline Guardrail	Moneyline Guardrail; no-vig CLV +0.05 pp	19	14-5	73.7%	+$603	+6.03u	31.7%
Official 2024-25 Card	ATS + totals + team totals + Moneyline Guardrail	107	66-40-1	62.3%	+$1,786	+17.86u	16.7%

2025-26 NCAAB Season

Official Card: +$4,400 / +44.00u

This uses the same official-card structure as 2024-25, with the 2025-26 Moneyline Guardrail plays rolled into this season.

Card Piece	Included Bet Types	Bets	Record	Win %	Profit	Units	ROI
Full-Game ATS Card	Robust Premium Core ATS; CLV +0.41 pts	40	27-13	67.5%	+$1,145	+11.45u	28.6%
Full-Game Totals Card	Three Check full-game totals; CLV +1.48 pts	85	55-29-1	65.5%	+$2,033	+20.33u	23.9%
Team Totals Unified	Unified team-total over card; CLV +2.85 pts	26	18-8	69.2%	+$852	+8.52u	32.8%
Moneyline Guardrail	Moneyline Guardrail; no-vig CLV +0.02 pp	12	9-3	75.0%	+$370	+3.70u	30.9%
Official 2025-26 Card	ATS + totals + team totals + Moneyline Guardrail	163	109-53-1	67.3%	+$4,400	+44.00u	27.0%

Combined Tested Window

2024-25 To 2025-26 Official Card: +$6,187 / +61.87u

Card Piece	Included Bet Types	Bets	Record	Win %	Profit	Units	ROI
Full-Game ATS Card	Robust Premium Core ATS; CLV +0.75 pts	81	51-29-1	63.8%	+$1,722	+17.22u	21.3%
Full-Game Totals Card	Three Check full-game totals; CLV +1.88 pts	109	69-39-1	63.9%	+$2,304	+23.04u	21.1%
Team Totals Unified	Unified team-total over card; CLV +3.01 pts	49	32-17	65.3%	+$1,188	+11.88u	24.3%
Moneyline Guardrail	Moneyline Guardrail; no-vig CLV +0.04 pp	31	23-8	74.2%	+$973	+9.73u	31.4%
Official Combined Card	ATS + totals + team totals + Moneyline Guardrail	270	175-93-2	65.3%	+$6,187	+61.87u	22.9%

Plain-English Read

How Customers Should Read This

If a customer risked $100 on every official NCAA men's basketball tracked-card play across the 2024-25 and 2025-26 tested seasons, including the Moneyline Guardrail, the historical result would have been 270 total bets and about $6,187 in profit, or +61.87 units.

This is a historical backtest, not a promise of future profit. The value of the page is transparency: customers can see the bet count, record, included bet types, profit, units, ROI, and closing-line value without needing to interpret the deeper model audit.